Why Vote?

Watching the election coverage is like watching a Mirror World where whole chunks of reality are missing. Some entire political subjects are ruled out in advance – others are mislaid or ignored as being ‘off the map’ of acceptable discussion. You are left with banality and a discourse of subjects often nothing to do with the country you live in but the obsessions of your neighbour. Other massive issues that affect everyone: climate; social breakdown, crippling inequality, housing are just absent. One friend said it was not so much that there was an Elephant in the Room as there was no room left, only elephant.

I won’t be the only person looking at the current General Election with utter dismay, wondering why any of these political parties should be the beneficiary of my, once every few years ‘X’ to mark my participation in British democracy.

It’s hard not to see them as a grim blur, a political class headed by two co-joined twins, Labour and Conservative, with only degrees of difference between them. A dull and contemptuous consensus is everywhere, on social policy, on immigration, on Brexit: the message is the same, distinguished only by the shallow refrain to ‘get the Tories out’. The Conservatives face electoral oblivion, and possibly an extinction event after over a decade in office and the cumulative effect of the disastrous regimes of May, Johnson, Truss (briefly) and Sunak: variations of grotesque and venal rule in which they have shed their identity as ‘the party of law and order’ (sic), or the party of competence and an ‘election winning machine’. Johnson was elected as Jeremy Corbyn was under vicious attack, not just by the right-wing media but by his own party. But, in truth, much of his demise was self-inflicted. He was in many ways an utterly useless candidate, but his defeat masked a truth about the Johnson victory, born on a haze of hubris and on the wave of bizarre English nationalism which Brexit engendered, a wave which is still crashing on the southern shores.

Farage is winning this Mirror World election with his nonsense-drivel and his pub landlord cosplay. taking big chunks out of the disintegrating Tory vote with his forever media presence and his dog whistle sub-fascist rhetoric. He will be the inheritor of the entrails of the Conservative Party shattered by years of infighting, incompetence and industrial-scale incompetence.

Now, in a defensive move to offset the very worst inroads of the Reform Party (it’s not a party in any real sense of the word), the Tories have descended even further than before, issuing party political broadcasts suggesting that a vote for Labour would be a ‘red carpet’ for ‘immigrants’ flooding ‘our land’. Reform and the Tories are in a race to the bottom, outdoing themselves to appeal to the worst instincts of the shires.

Disgusting as these PPBs are, they are of course nonsense, as Labour is on-record as wanting to outdo the Conservatives in being ‘tough on immigration’.  The consensus is clear, the Overton Window of specifically English political narratives forbids the possibility of putting a positive case for immigration, as it does talking seriously about the ongoing economic and social disaster that is the fever dream of Brexit. Labour know this, and are playing by the rules.

I had abandoned interest in voting Labour in 1984, a full forty years ago. So I didn’t need the last six months of Keir Starmer’s weekly u-turns and declarations of all the things he wasn’t going to achieve and couldn’t attempt to make me think that the Labour offering, at both a UK and Scotland level was worthless. Angela Rayner was on my radio this morning explaining that North Sea Oil would be ‘on stream’ for decades to come – shifting and gabbling as the presenter challenged her on how Labour would respond to the landmark ruling handed out this week that the climate impact of burning coal, oil and gas must be taken into account when deciding whether to approve projects, as the supreme court ruled (Our incredible win could change the future of oil and gas in the UK). The judgment, handed down on Thursday, sets an important precedent on whether the “inevitable” future greenhouse gas emissions of a fossil fuel project should be considered.

As in so much, a cosy if, disastrous consensus is in place, in this case that the fantasy that our current lifestyle is in any sense sustainable, must be indulged, even as daily we see the oncoming ravages of climate catastrophe emerge around us. In this sense, the political systems we endure are simply not up to the job presented to them. In this sense, participation in this fantasy lends them a credibility they don’t deserve.

Why vote?

Looking across the political parties we can see that most of the mainstream parties are riddled with donations from corporations and big business interest-groups (the same is true in Holyrood as Westminster). This is one of the reasons that the consensus extends to defending Israel despite us all watching in real-time a genocide unfold before our eyes. As with the climate crisis, with the horrors of Gaza you are left screaming: “Why don’t you do something?” The stark answer is that they are doing something, they are doing what they are being paid to do, at best act in complicity with the Israeli forces and at worst, arm them. In a ‘conflict’ that we have stood by and watched over the last eight months, as Israel has killed more than 36,000 Palestinians, in which an untold number remain under the debris and still more will die of hunger and disease, little is done in response. There is no international order, the western countries stand by – and Labour has promised nothing different.

Why should I vote for any of this?

But, I hear you say, these are straw men, we all know that Labour and Conservative are unworthy of our support, here in Scotland we have the progressive alternative, the champions of Scotland, deserving of your vote. But after 17 years this alternative lacks credibility. A recent National front page had the SNP explain the SNPs claim that “a majority of seats would trigger independence talks”.

Apart from the idea of a majority of pro-indy seats being a (very) remote possibility, we know this is simply not true. The incoming Labour government has already said, in the starkest and least democratic terms possible that they would refuse any such thing. Michael Marra on the BBCs Debate Night could not be more contemptuous, nor could his leader, Keir Starmer. Today Starmer stated: “There’ll be no negotiations with the Scottish Government on independence – even if a majority of SNP MPs are elected on July 4th.” In British-style democracy you are told plainly: it doesn’t matter what you vote, the support for a political party and the subsequent delivery of a parties manifesto does not apply to the SNP.

Welcome to the Mirror World

But this is not only about the intransigence of the British political system, the British state and its media, it is also about the failure of the SNP. We have already had a (huge) “majority of seats” and at no time did it “trigger independence talks”. Why now?

Love it or loathe it but an incoming Starmer government will have no – zero – incentive to do anything to change the constitution. Despite the enduring mythology that ‘Labour needs seats in Scotland’ – its clear they really don’t. Just as England elects a Tory government, English votes will decide this election. When the SNP won a landslide victory and elected an unprecedented mass of MPs it made no difference at all.

Why vote for any of this?

I could, it’s true act on my conscience and vote for one of the smaller parties, but as we know the First Past the Post system renders such actions completely meaningless.

The argument against refusing to vote is that it disallows you from complaining about anything in the future. But this suggests a few things that seem deeply questionable: that the system has some validity, that your vote has some impact (briefly true in only a handful of marginals), or that somehow you are taking part – even abstractly – in some wider good called ‘democracy’.

As we face problems of an existential scale, and social breakdown and economic inequality to an extent not witnessed for a hundred years or more in the UK, supporters of parliamentary democracy will have to work harder to convince people to take part. It’s not just that the very claim that ‘political change comes from electoral politics’ seems very very difficult to sustain, but the wider scaffolding of ‘democracy’ is also under sustained attack. The very notion of peaceful assembly or protest has been largely criminalised in Britain under a series of regressive authoritarian legislation by the Conservatives (none of which will be revoked by Labour); the rule of law and the actions of the police has been systematically undermined, and confidence in the police is at an all time-low for reasons from Stephen Lawrence to Sarah Everard to Sheku Bayoh. Beyond this, and these are key ideals of democracy that have simply been cast aside, when there is system failure, crisis or disaster – such as in the Grenfell Tower tragedy – the response in Britain is routine and predictable: a sombre and lengthy inquiry will be established which will rumble on for years at huge cost, publish a massive report and nothing will happen. The same pattern can be seen over decades. This is also democratic failure.

Why should I vote for any of this?

Instead of confronting the shambles and crisis inherited from the Tories, Labour tell us clearly they won’t do anything. As John Caudwell, the billionaire founder of Phones4U told the BBC this week: “What Keir has done as far as I can see … is taken all the left out of the Labour party, and he’s come out with a brilliant set of values and principles in complete alignment with my views as a commercial capitalist.”

It would be easy to mark these criticisms as bad faith politics. I just don’t like the fact that my particular brand of politics: Scottish independence as a means to transform Scottish society and break-up the British state, is moribund. It is, it’s true. But the idea that you can forever refuse a vote for change, that you can run on a ticket of ‘CHANGE’ while simultaneously explaining that you will do nothing, the idea that you can face down the climate crisis with business as usual, the idea that you can tear people out of Europe against their will, or refuse to confront the housing crisis for an entire generation – these ideas are a fantasy. Yes Starmer will ascend to Downing Street on a mountain of votes, Yes the Conservatives will be destroyed – but these fundamental questions remain unanswered. As an electoral event it will be box office, and the media that has been trained to exult in these small degrees of change in ruling parties as momentous will go into overdrive. But this will be a pyrrhic victory.

We are now in a shadow world in which the problems of late capitalism rain down on us and the solutions offered up by our political class are so inadequate as to fail to justify our support. This is what the Canadian writer and activist Naomi Klein calls the ‘Mirror World’, a world of culture wars and conspiracy:

“In the Mirror World, conspiracy theories detract attention from the billionaires who fund the networks of misinformation and away from the economic policies—deregulation, privatization, austerity—that have stratified wealth so cataclysmically in the neoliberal era. They rile up anger about the Davos elites, at Big Tech and Big Pharma—but the rage never seems to reach those targets. Instead it gets diverted into culture wars about anti-racist education, all-gender bathrooms, and Great Replacement panic directed at Black people, nonwhite immigrants, and Jews. Meanwhile, the billionaires who bankroll the whole charade are safe in the knowledge that the fury coursing through our culture isn’t coming for them.”

In this sense the elections are a sideshow, a vaudeville act with an array of players and voices that do little if anything to contend with the powers at play, the forces that make your world unaffordable, your society disintegrate into grotesque inequality and powerlessness the hallmark of your existence. Given this undeniable reality, why should you vote for any of it?

This is a society in deep denial, a society participating in mass avoidance. Klein observes: “At bottom, it comes down to who and what we cannot bear to see—in our past, in our present, and in the future racing toward us. Performing and partitioning and projecting are the individual steps that make up the dance of avoidance.”

One response, and it will be a deeply unpopular one, is to step aside from the charade and withdraw your tacit support for any of it. This is not nihilism, nor is it advocating ‘doing nothing’, but it is arguing that our systems are fundamentally broken, that our given choices are fundamentally ridiculous and that honesty and facing reality are far preferable. There are its true, a few examples of where change has come about through the ballot box, but they are few and far between. What this election, like so many before it offer you, is the illusion of change, the idea that the fundamental socio-ecological traumas we are living though can somehow be avoided by ignoring them, or by indulging in forms of ameliorative tinkering that offer-up a least-bad option as a solution.

This is the opposite of abandonment. For generations, in different countries and continents, change, real change, has been brought about by mass movements, civil disobedience and withdrawing of consent. If a refusal to take part is a first step in acknowledging futility and misdirection, the next would be to build alternative infrastructures of power, of care, of solidarity, to begin to build moral alternatives to the charade outwith the systems that maintain control and demand obedience.

If this seems desultory and deeply negative, its because it is. The reality of where we are, as a country, as a society, as a species, is deeply problematic, and I don’t see any reason to vote for the people presented to me on my television and on my timelines. If this is shocking, or disappointing I wouldn’t apologise but ask you to justify voting for any of them.

Too cynical? I may not be alone.

The BBC reports that during the past four elections, nearly a third of people who were eligible to vote chose not to. Trust and confidence in the UK’s politics and election system have never been worse, for very good reason.

In his recent report for the National Centre for Social Research, electoral expert Sir John Curtice found record numbers of voters saying they “almost never” trust governments to put country before party or politicians to tell the truth when in a tight corner.

“The public is as doubtful as it has ever been about the trustworthiness and efficacy of the country’s system of government and the people who comprise it,” Sir John warned.

On 4 July say ‘None of the Above’.

 

Comments (40)

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  1. Cathie Lloyd says:

    If voting was the only way we can make an impact on public policy we’d be right to despair. Non choice in England. But once a party is elected we still have means to expert pressure on them and to draw attention to alternatives. Limited, agreed, but yesterday’s range of public protests in the whole of the UK – Gay pride, biodiversity, independence, Palestine for starters shows that large numbers are embracing alternatives to the tired retreads offered by Tory, Labour, Lib dems. Our challenge will be to turn the voices of protest into effective and real change. The battle is just beginning once we’ve cast our vote!

  2. Stewart Bremner says:

    Without having articulated it to myself, I had pretty much arrived at the same position.

  3. Satan says:

    If you don’t vote you don’t count, and it would then be hard to justify ranting about stuff you have proved you couldn’t care less about in a very concrete way.

    I think the election has hardly anything to do with the independence cause appart from some sales lies for a few totalitarians that we’ve heard before, twice or more. Unfortunately, in Scotland the only real alternative choice is a protest vote for a corporate Green Party. To illustrate how daft they can be, one of their immigration policies is to abolish the Home Office. Presumably we would apply for a new passport from the Home Office1.1.

  4. Dr William Reynolds says:

    It is true that in the past,a majority of SNP seats has not persuaded the UK government to negotiate with SNP MPs.However,that is nor a reason for not voting.My vote has always been about a vote for something that I believed in.I consider that to be a valid reason,even when I knew that my vote would not elect anyone.In the 1970ś that was nearly always the case,and our goal was to build support for the future.In respect of this election,I do not dimiss the importance of a majority of SNP seats as you appear to have done.Of course it is certain that it will not result in a referendum.The significance is that the cumulative effect of consistent majorities demonstrates that the will for independence is sustainable ,and that the constant rejection of democracy is unlikely to win in the end.That is a message that will have an affect on international opinion. Furthermore,an SNP majority in the general election,provides an good base for a defacto referendum during the next elections for the Scottish parliament.The tone of this article is very pessimistic.

  5. Alan C says:

    My wife and myself will be marking our ballots, ‘not my parliament/end the union’

  6. Ken Hare says:

    Yes, agreed. Sigh

  7. John says:

    I don’t disagree with the general pessimism of the post and while voting at a General Election in Scotland can appear a futile excercise an individual not voting may give some fleeting self satisfaction it is a form of self censorship.
    FPTP is a ludicrous electoral system but it does motivate the voter to vote either positively or negatively as opposed to PR systems. I have often held my nose and voted for a party that would beat the party I dislike more. This has given me some satisfaction in seeing politicians I despised (eg Forsyth) being evicted from Westminster.
    Personally I am deeply disillusioned with a cynical and undemocratic Labour Party in Scotland and will vote to try and stop them winning my local seat.
    It is blatantly obvious that no Westminster government are going to grant another independence referendum based on Westminster results in Scotland but I would rather be represented by MP’s whose focus is on the concerns of electorate in Scotland rather than the concerns of their national (UK) party. In addition your local MP is your representative and you do have access to them.
    I personally respect every individual’s decision on whether to vote or not and do not agree with compulsory voting.
    Politicians will not give any heed to people that do not vote if it does not affect their hold on power.
    IMO The only situation in which not voting would possibly make politicians sit up and take notice is if there was a nationally organised don’t vote movement or organisation that had a high media profile with a specific aim to bring turnout below 50%. Even in this situation I would imagine the elected politicians would shed a few crocodile tears and carry on as normal.

  8. Doug Haywood says:

    “This is the opposite of abandonment. For generations, in different countries and continents, change, real change, has been brought about by mass movements, civil disobedience and withdrawing of consent. If a refusal to take part is a first step in acknowledging futility and misdirection, the next would be to build alternative infrastructures of power, of care, of solidarity, to begin to build moral alternatives to the charade outwith the systems that maintain control and demand obedience.”

    Direct Action gets the goods.
    We don’t have time to wait for the political classes to grow a spine, we have a habitable biosphere to defend and a world to win.
    We have to stop asking nicely, appealing to the conscience of careerists who only ever prioritize the next election cycle.

    1. florian albert says:

      ‘Direct action gets the goods.’

      The history of Scotland since 1945 demonstrates the opposite. The SNP is in power at Holyrood because it built up support through electoral politics.
      This proved a long slog. From the Hamilton by election in 1967 till they became the majority party in 2007; an activist joining the SNP after Winnie Ewing’s victory, age 20 would have been getting their bus pass by the 2007 Holyrood victory.
      The pro-independence left in Scotland has not shown this level of commitment. After R I S E sank in 2016, many of them opted out of electoral politics. In favour of what ? Judged by results, not very much.

      1. Doug Haywood says:

        Maybe think beyond Scottish Independence for a moment?

        Every movement that has sought and achieved radical change has had a direct action wing. Suffragettes, Civil Rights in the USA, the end of Apartheid in South Africa, colonial Independence struggles all had significant, if not dominant direct action components driving their movements.

        Perhaps the cause of Scottish Independence has been such a long slog because this element has been lacking?
        And before you go there, direct action does not have to be violent.

        Fully agree that RISE was a mistake. However you’re wrong to think that most of the Indy supporting left went off to do nothing after RISE collapsed. The Indy supporting left were already activists before the ’14 campaign in a huge range of movements. (From my own experience, CND, SPSC, Hunt Sabs, Road Protests, hell huge chunks of the more radical green movement, Anti-Fa, housing rights and I could go on!)
        Almost all of them are back there, working as they were, building community and campaigning.

        Oh, and for the record, a habitable planet is more important than breaking the British State.

        1. florian albert says:

          Comparing Scotland’s efforts to become independent with the struggle of non-whites against apartheid is not a good idea. Nobody has suffered in any significant way for the former while millions did suffer in trying to end the latter.

          You refer to your campaigning. The campaign against fox-hunting succeeded because it won parliamentary support. The campaign against nuclear weapons, which had vastly more support, failed because it failed to win parliamentary support.

          1. Doug Haywood says:

            Hi Again,
            Nobody is comparing the issue of Scottish Independence with the fight against apartheid. The point is about tactics. Do you think South African apartheid would have ended without direct action?
            Direct action is the only reason that fox hunting ever got onto the politician’s agenda in the first place.
            Nuclear disarmament has seen notable victories driven by direct action campaigns. Greenham Common for example, The reason CND has failed is the desire of the UK elites to still have a permanent seat at the UN Security Council and be lap dog to the US empire. It’s all about those big phallic symbols letting folk pretend they are still relevant.

  9. Cathy Gunn says:

    “If a refusal to take part is a first step in acknowledging futility and misdirection, the next would be to build alternative infrastructures …“ I think Scotland has always done this to some extent (in my six decades of living memory at least.) Away from the controlling gaze of Westmonster, education, healthcare, culture etc kept a degree of autonomy and a different set of values. Not nearly enough autonomy but solid foundations to build on. A big issue is ‘joining dots’ so groups and individuals pursuing systemic change can find strength in numbers.

  10. Roland Chaplain says:

    This is the question that the organisers of a local hustings didn’t allow:
    Question on Climate Justice and Civic Society

    In spite of only having sub-state status at COP26 in Glasgow 30 months ago, Scotland was able to showpiece our shared commitment with ‘Global South’ nations in calling for ‘Loss and Damage’ climate reparations.

    17 months hence the vitally important COP30 is to be held in Brazil.
    Young people and civic society organisations in Brazil are calling on all nations to make this the first ever truly
    ‘peoples COP’
    i.e one not dominated by the interests of the the fossil fuel industry, other big corporations, individual billionaires and political elites.

    My question is addressed particularly to Conservative and Labour candidates:

    “If your Party is in power at Westminster, would you support a predominantly civic society representation at COP30 from Scotland ?

    Would you support those representing Scotland having the equivalent status to that of those from a full Nation state both at and during the preparations for this event ?”.

    The reason I was given was that it wouldn’t be of any interest to electors. Rather proves your point Mike !!

    1. John says:

      Roland – I think that it requires a combination of peoples mass movement with an effective electoral strategy to ensure politicians actually take action.
      If you consider a few examples of where governments have changed policies they usually involve a mixture of both:
      1)Devolution- partly due to sustained activity by pressure groups leading to Labour being forced to implement due to fear of political impact of not implementing.
      2)Poll Tax – mass civil nonpayment and disobedience highlighted the unfairness of tax which allied to fear of electoral impact led to John Major abandoning tax.
      You can protest to your hearts content and if the protests are big enough and capture public mood and support they will frighten politicians who may even amend policies to try and damp down protest. Unfortunately, in my long experience, this effect is not half as effective at getting politicians to change policy as the threat of them losing power through the ballot box.

      1. 240623 says:

        A people’s mass movement?

        In your dreams, John.

    2. SleepingDog says:

      @Roland Chaplain, the United Nations have just answered that question:
      “80 percent of people globally want stronger climate action by governments according to UN Development Programme survey
      “Landmark public opinion research reveals overwhelming majority around the world support more ambitious efforts and want to overcome geopolitical differences to fight climate crisis
      “JUNE 20, 2024”
      https://www.undp.org/press-releases/80-percent-people-globally-want-stronger-climate-action-governments-according-un-development-programme-survey

  11. Malcolm Gardner says:

    However faux the democracy on offer is, it is preferable to an anarchy that would almost inevitably lead to violence and or civil wars, where the vulnerable are tortured and perish. Even the majority suffer at the hands of the physically strong and mentally sociopathic. Not so different from what we tolerate now you might say, unless you’ve experienced a society without the restraint of an elected government, where these terrible horrors are a thousand fold worse. Then after that carnage a strong leader and junta emerge that crush the relative freedoms we enjoy, even the freedom to publish this counsel of despair. That is why I vote, why I support this flawed enterprise. The alternatives would harm those I love more than the status quo and there’s always the hope that one election, this one or one down the line, might change things for good. Vote SNP for the slimmest of chances of an independent Scotland.

    1. Derek Thomson says:

      Agree with every word, and I would say to Mike, Tories always vote. Always.

  12. Bob Goupillot says:

    Hi Mike, I share your despair at the current crop of political parties. Nevertheless as there is no option of voting for ‘none of the above’ then i think voting for a party that supports scottish self determination is still worthwhile. I see it as a vote for that principle. If none of us vote that way it may make the new uk government even more confident that it can just ignore us. On a more positive note I think we need to begin discussions around building a new (republican, socialist?) party that we can wholeheatedly support. i would welcome the thoughts of others on this topic.

    1. 240623 says:

      There are already dozens of republican/socialist parties you can wholeheartedly support. Indeed, there’s a bespoke Republican Socialist Party that’s registered to stand candidates in England, Scotland, and Wales.

    2. Doug Haywood says:

      “None of the above” should be on all ballots, agreed.
      Not sure if you got the thrust of the article though?
      It argues that voting isn’t working. Then the case is made for movements, withdrawal of consent, civil disobedience and building alternatives to the electoral pantomime as a way to make change.
      Yet another red-fragment party trying to play the tired game of electioneering (while perpetually self-policing and rehashing the same old arguments) would be a waste of time and energy.
      It’s been tried, it didn’t work. We need to try something else.

      1. Bob Goupillot says:

        Hi Doug, I am not arguing for a party that focuses on electioneering and I think movements and civil disobedience will prove essential.
        However I think that the road to socialism lies through the democratic Republic and that this is most likely to be created via a democratic party or parties. I am happy to listen to alternatives ideally illustrated by historical examples.

        1. Doug Haywood says:

          Hi Bob,
          I disagree. The state capture route has been tried. It has failed. Unless you want to argue the toss about China, Laos, Cuba or North Korea?
          You cannot use the the state to get rid of class. It’s been tried and it failed, Assuming that you agree that socialism would be a classless society, that that’s the aim?

          Examples? How about Barcelona in July 1936? Rojava? The Zapatistas? Examples of revolution in the face of stiff odds without an attempt at state capture.

          1. Bob Goupillot says:

            I’m not entirely sure what you mean by state capture but I certainly wouldn’t wish to emulate China, Laos or North Korea. I think the cuban comrades acheived many good things in difficult circumstances.
            I think that the role of socialists is to dismantle the capitalist state as a move towards a classless society (which i would call communism).

            Barcelona 1936 as well as involving the CNT and FAI involved parties like POUM, Rojava involves the PKK amongst others and the Zapatista have a party like structure. We can learn from all these examples. Direct Action to be effective requires a decision making structure. On a mass scale this would resemble a party. Party just means that we are ‘partisans’ of the working class. I feel that our views are not all that different. can I recommend Revolutionary Affinities by Michael Lowy and Olivier Besancenot

  13. William Simpson says:

    Totally agree, Scottish politians fall into the trap of using it as a career.
    We need passion, morals and sacrifice. Stand up and be counted.

  14. 240623 says:

    Why vote?

    Because it’s your democratic duty to contribute to the formation of a general will in our public decision-making, and because voting in secret ballots is how we make that contribution in our democracy. Basically, a general will emerges from the aggregate of all our individual votes. To not vote is to reject democracy as a form of government.

    If you don’t like any of the alternatives you can vote for, you can and should cast a protest vote to express your dissatisfaction with the alternatives on offer rather than abstain from voting altogether. This is because, by making a protest vote, you’ll still be contributing to the formation of a general will. In democratic regimes in which voting is compulsory, protest votes are counted; abstentions are not counted in regimes in which voting is only voluntary, which skews the aggregation of our individual wishes into a general will.

    Protest votes can take the form of blank, null, or spoiled ballots. Blank ballots are ballots with no markings on them. Null ballots are ballots that do not result in a valid vote because the ballot was deliberately filled out incompletely or incorrectly. Spoiled ballots are ballots that have been deliberately defaced, crossed-out, or otherwise marked in a way that makes the ballot ineligible. Spoiled ballots in particular most clearly indicate the presence of a protest vote.

    Protest votes can also take the form of voting for a fringe candidate, who has no chance of winning, which reduces the margin of victory of the likely winner.

    Outside of the UK, protest voting is widespread and effective.

    In the parliamentary elections in Finland and Sweden, voters regularly use Donald Duck as a protest vote. In Ukraine, the Internet Party nominated Darth Vader for mayoral elections in Kyiv and Odesa, and tried to nominate him for presidency, although this application was rejected.

    Protest voting is most common in Latin America, where over 55% of ballots in presidential elections since 1980 have been blank or spoiled. During the 2000 presidential elections in Peru, Alejandro Toledo withdrew over concerns about election integrity and encouraged his supporters to spoil their ballots in protest. In that election, around 31% of ballots cast were spoiled or blank.

    In Colombia, the blank vote is a legal path to force a repetition of an election and a change of the candidates in that election. According to paragraph 1 of article 258 of the Columbian Constitution, if the blank vote in Colombia becomes the most voted option, the elections should be repeated once and then, depending on the nature of the election, the parties should present new candidates or new lists of candidates. This gives the protest vote a way to express dissent which has real electoral consequences. So far, the blank vote never not been majoritarian in presidential or congress elections in Colombia, but it’s already forced a repeat of some elections for mayor’s office.

    After the 2002 French presidential election, in which far-right leader Jean-Marie Le Pen came second behind the conservative candidate, Jacques Chirac, protest voting was named a contributing factor. I personally know French Communists who voted for Le Pen against Chirac. The 2017 French presidential election, won by Emmanuel Macron, saw the highest level of protest voting and abstention in France since the late 1960s, with 4 million blank, null, or spoiled ballots, and an additional 12 million abstentions.

    In the Russian presidential election earlier this year, amid the exclusion of anti-war candidates from challenging incumbent President Vladimir Putin, anti-Putin activists employed a protest voting tactic they called ‘Noon Against Putin, which was first proposed by jailed Russian opposition leader, Alexei Navalny, shortly before his murder. This involved gathering at polling stations around midday on the last day of voting to advocate for spoilt ballots, such as writing Navalny’s name on the ballot paper or the name of other banned candidates. Officially, banned candidates received only 4% of the total vote, though some independent exit polls showed that they’d overwhelmingly defeated Putin.

    But whatever you do on July 4th, don’t abstain. Abstaining increases the proportion of votes for the most popular candidate or party; using a protest vote against the popular candidate or party can shrink their margin of victory and weaken the endorsement of their mandate.

  15. Daniel Raphael says:

    If X/Twitter had not barred me (this time, after a stay of 2-3 days), I would have posted/tweeted this at that location; for now, Bluesky must suffice. The question you pose, Michael, goes far beyond the UK, having resonance and applicability in its substance to many other nations. I know you realize this, but I just wanted to affirm it.

    What I think we must all realize is that, whether or not you vote, that will be the least of what we must do to save ourselves from global catastrophe. “Business as usual” must be made to stop; that could also be written MUST be made to stop. There truly is no alternative, as multiple nations are gearing up for an utterly baseless, insane and likely terminal, global conflict. It’s just more business as usual, the imperialist business of business by any and all means. The only meaningful vote we have is how and whether we organize with others to make the flow to destruction and extinction *stop*. Time is short.

  16. SleepingDog says:

    Here is an anarchist perspective from Freedom News on some of the issues raised:
    https://freedomnews.org.uk/2024/06/18/walney-report-democracy-without-dissent/

    Much of our current culture combines promotion of consumer choice and conveying a sense of political powerlessness, but I’ve never seen this so blatantly in UK elections. It’s worth looking at elections elsewhere, and how unpopular candidate/party choices seem to be in many cases.

  17. Niemand says:

    One could indeed say none of the above but would that not mean there is even less chance of change for the better or even cause the opposite?The serious momentum of Brexit began when UKIP go the most seats representing the UK (including even Scotland) in the Euro elections in 2009. That gave them a platform to spout their anti-EU rhetoric in the European parliament televised across Europe including of course, the UK. How did that happened? Few bothered voting but UKIP voters did because they and the party understood their chance.

    I would also say that ‘small degrees of change’ (a fair analysis) is not the same as ‘a pyrrhic victory’ (no real victory at all). Disengaging from the democratic process however compromised you feel it is, will in the current climate enable the major force across Europe right now to gain even more ground – the far right who do indeed have ‘solutions’ to the issues cited here, but mostly all the wrong ones. And who was the last major ‘celeb’ who advocated not voting due to his apparent disillusion? Russel Brand, a man who within a few short years turned into a conspiracy theorist nut-job with millions of followers (and sexual predator as it turns out but that is beside the point except in the sense his defenders simply claim the accusations are all a conspiracy).

  18. Time, the Deer says:

    Same, pal, same

  19. Paddy Farrington says:

    “If this is shocking, or disappointing I wouldn’t apologise but ask you to justify voting for any of them.”

    I will be voting SNP. Because the entire thrust of the British establishment in Scotland – Tory and Labour alike – is to seek to bury the SNP, and with it, the aspirations to self-determination of half the Scottish people and the great majority of its youth. The strategy is clear: close off any practical democratic prospect of achieving independence, in the hope that the people will eventually give up. Faced with this, we must continue to assert the democratic principles that are being denied us, and the best way to do this on July 4th is to vote for the very party they are trying to wipe off the political map.

    I do not believe for one moment that even if the SNP were to achieve a majority in Scotland on July 4th, it would lead to a referendum on independence. The point is, however, that it should, and that by denying it the forces of Unionism are undermining their own democratic credentials. Thus, the bigger the SNP vote on July 4th, the easier the task will be of building the new social and cultural movement that can deliver it.

    1. Bob Goupillot says:

      I agree with this analysis Paddy and that’s why I will be voting SNP despite all my misgivings

    2. John says:

      I agree Paddy and I am damned if the vacuous, cynical, undemocratic’Scottish Labour’ , as demonstrated by Anas Sarwar, are going to win my local constituency just because SNP have not lived up to all my wishes.
      The Brexit vote and actions of UK parties since 2016 has convinced me that there is little chance of meaningful change within UK.
      Yes the SNP have been a bit of a disappointment but to change things you need political power. To gain political power you need the stomach for a long term fight and to unite against your opponents. You do not get meaningful change by throwing the towel in at the first setback and then explain it away by trying to claim the moral high ground.
      Opponents of independence will be laughing into their cornflakes reading this article and many of the comments.

  20. Wul says:

    The last time my vote was capable of making any real change was September 2014.

  21. John says:

    Sometimes it is best to listen what your opponents say. They are all saying that if they diminish the SNP vote and representation they diminish the cause of independence.
    This is how those in power look at the situation and for once I am inclined to agree with them. All Scottish constituencies at this election are SNP/British Unionist Party contests. Not voting is therefore tacit vote for the British unionist party in your constituency.
    If SNP representation falls this will be portrayed by unionist politicians and media as the endgame for independence regardless of opinion polls.

    1. Niemand says:

      Very fair comment.

      However, the question now is – would propping up the SNP actually put back the cause even further? Are they actually capable of the galvanising and political nouse that is needed, regardless of how many votes they get? The answer looks like no. Some would say that the party, in its current form, is no longer the political answer and better to go into a period of re-grouping in order to find / create something better in the short or even medium term, regardless if that means Unionists make hay with their decline / electoral defeat.

      The total dominance of the SNP in the years after the referendum was not solely built on the independence cause since they actively said for some years, a vote for us is not about that primarily, but about what’s ‘best for Scotland’ in terms of representation at Westminster. They have now backtracked on that but is it too late? Were the years when virtually every Scottish MP was SNP, elected on a ‘better for Scotland’ mandate but essentially within the union, not the real face of the post-2014 party and is likely to be from now on, whatever is now limply said about a mandate for talks about another referendum?

      1. John says:

        No – that is basically going back to square one.
        I really don’t think a lot of people under how much pressure the UK establishment felt post 2019 & 2021 elections. This pressure has lessened due to recent SNP problems (which party doesn’t go through these phases) but to voluntarily reduce pressure further would be madness and only be welcomed by unionist parties.
        Mark my words the unionist parties are concerned that devolution has led an increase in support for SNP and independence. You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to understand that if SNP are not the largest party after GE and out of office after 2026 Holyrood election the devolved governments will be further neutered and any future chance of independence will be further diminished if not exterminated.

  22. SleepingDog says:

    Medialens has just covered some specific questions important to the electorate that are being managed out of the campaign debates or attacked without balance. Even the loathsome Nigel Farage can occasionally be right about something.
    https://www.medialens.org/2024/did-the-west-provoke-the-ukraine-war-sorry-that-question-has-been-cancelled/

  23. SleepingDog says:

    Greenpeace have published their assessment of the SNP manifesto:
    https://www.greenpeace.org.uk/resources/snp-manifesto-analysis/
    They had to use different criteria from those they used (with Friends of the Earth) to mark the main UK party offerings.

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