In a Room with Brexit Secrets
25th February 2018
Over recent months few people can have missed the bizarre rigmarole UK Ministers got themselves into about the so-called ‘Brexit impact assessments’. First they were a work in progress, then they existed in “excruciating detail”, then they were a mere summary, then they didn’t exist at all.
Then they did exist again and were fine, really fine. Everything was absolutely marvellous and the research confirmed all the upbeat Moggist enthusiasm about cheap shoes and Empire 2.0. However as well as confirming this rosy picture they were also utterly hush-hush and could completely undermine the UK’s position if they got out, so much so that nobody was to be allowed to see them.
The Brexit crisis has comprised so many absurd, farcical elements that it almost seems unfair to pick out this one for attention. (Sometimes I think that’s the plan, a Trump-like strategy of being so astonishingly awful at everything that we all just get used to it and let it wash over us.)
This week however MSPs finally got a half decent chance to take a look at these fabled scrolls. It came after calls from both Parliaments for Ministers to come clean, after which they grudgingly arranged for limited access under conditions that felt like something from a 19th century spy story.
The story’s first chapter was, I have to say, a bit of a shambles. In the week before the February recess Robin Walker, a Minister in DExEU (the government department with the most improbable acronym outside of The Thick of It), wrote to MSPs offering a few fixed time slots for us to view the Brexit papers. The first of these sessions ended at 1pm on the Wednesday, which was precisely the time when his letter informing us arrived in MSPs’ inboxes, so I should imagine the take-up for that session was on the low side.
A small number of MSPs were able, in the end, to rearrange their diaries at almost zero notice to hare across to the Scotland Office on the other side of Edinburgh, to take a look at what was on offer. You can imagine their bafflement when the officials proudly presented the even numbered pages only.
Yes folks, meet the UK Government: the people in charge of the most complex and challenging constitutional change for generations, but who cannot figure out how double sided printing works.
In the end even Mr Walker had to admit that the situation was a mess, and he agreed to make the documents available again, for longer, and actually inside the Scottish Parliament.
Which is how I found myself heading to the Donald Dewar reading room at Holyrood on Thursday this week, for my long awaited chance to catch a glimpse of information so incendiary that the public must be protected from any hint of its contents.
Not only must the public be protected, but MSPs were also to be prevented from taking any accurate record of what we were being shown. A special box was provided for us to deposit our phones, tablets and any other devices. Handwritten notes only. Provide your own quill and vellum.
One colleague had properly anticipated this – Green MSP Mark Ruskell brought tracing paper with him, and managed to use it to copy some of the graphs showing the likely economic wreckage the Brexit crisis will cause. The UK Government officials seemed momentarily confused, being of an age perhaps to have never seen this antique technology before. But hey, what he was copying out was still handwritten, so he got away with it.
The ludicrous anxiety the UK Government has displayed over this incident would be laughable if it didn’t also betray something very serious. There actually wasn’t much in the documents that we don’t already know – every economic assessment of the consequences of Brexit is negative, except for the hard right ideological ravings of Patrick Minford and his ‘Economists for Free Trade’ group. Under all scenarios, from the hardest of hard Brexits to staying inside the single market via the European Economic Area, our economy will suffer. Scotland won’t be the hardest hit area, but will fare much worse than areas like London and the south of England. The only opportunities to gain economic benefit from ‘taking back control’ will come from breaking government promises about social and environmental regulations, and fully embracing the dystopian future David Davis promises won’t happen.
The truth is that the UK Government fully understand the reality of this, and are desperate to deny that this is their own conclusion. The UK currently has a Government that’s willing to devastate the economy to satisfy the whims of the Brexit Ultras who have taken them over, and a main Opposition party that’s unwilling to call out this insanity and demand a change of course.
It is still not too late to call a halt to Brexit. Ministers can no longer hide the truth of the crisis they have created, and those who just keep driving us over the cliff will deserve the contempt of the country, for generations to come.