Scotland in Limbo
For a long while it made sense to talk about Scotland as a liminal space – a space in between – that was going through a process that would allow it to emerge in a different state (hopefully literally). Now that makes little sense. Scotland is in limbo. We are stuck, moribund and directionless.
The SNP’s debacle of standing next to representatives of Israel who are knee-deep in blood was only the latest – and possibly the last – grave error of judgement that will hang over them for some time to come. The idea of a re-boot under a Swinney leadership always seemed far-fetched, now it seems grotesque. Not all of this is of the SNP’s making: the Branchform inquiry hangs over the party like a bad smell, but the party’s inability – or unwillingness to take a root and branch response to their various crises that have swept over them have left them looking like a group who have circled the wagons and indulged in the ‘one more heave’ tactic in the face of all of the evidence of certain failure.
Our profound sense of drift and stagnation is mirrored in a different way down south. Jason Cowley, The New Statesman’s editor has written (‘England in Pieces‘): “Order has returned to the streets of England but the mood in the country is uneasy, and this feels more like a temporary respite from chaos than something settled. The King, perhaps more in hope than expectation, has called for the nation to unite around “shared values of mutual respect and understanding”.
Who knows what this message from the King means, or could mean, or how on earth this could have any impact on the state of rage and racism? The archaic semi-feudal relic that is the trappings of the British state is meaningless in the world of coked-up ethnonationalism, Telegram and inchoate white male violence.
The order of the day is to suppress and ignore. The news that over 1000 people have been charged and prosecuted for a variety of crimes just adds to the idea that you can just ‘lock up’ the problems that we’ve witnessed on the streets and they’ll somehow go away. But beneath this assumption is a deep confusion about what’s going on. Cowley again:
“Through the power of the state, order has been restored after the riots but as the new Labour government embarks on the long process of social repair it feels as if the time is out of joint. David Lammy, author of Tribes, a memoir about transcending social and cultural division, says far-right rioters have “forgotten about what it means to be English” and should reintegrate “back into Britishness”. But what does it mean to be English, or even to integrate back into Britishness, when the Prime Minister himself says he wants to lead the country on a rediscovery of who we are?”
But from all the ink-loads of print that have been spilt about the riots very little is clear. What does it mean to be English, and what on earth is ‘Britishness’? Without having the guts or the insight to separate these concepts there will be very little progress in understanding what’s happened.
We are mired in such category confusion it is impossible to make any sense. Talk of ‘populism’ and ‘national unity’ are misnomers because we don’t acknowledge whose populism we are dealing with nor whose ‘national unity’ we aspire to. Britishness is overlaid on Englishness as a veil to hide the void and over Scotland to quell the restless natives. Starmer’s victory was heralded as a balm to soothe a broken and scarred society, but it won 63 per cent of the seats on only 33.7 per cent of the vote. Salvation is shallow and votes were cast from disgust with the Tories not love of the alternative.
Now an emboldened Labour government are announcing Osborne economics and the political map is changing rapidly. Reform are ahead of the Conservatives in the polls and are aiming to exploit the summer of hate for their own gains, the SNP is disintegrating in real time before your eyes and the Scottish Tories are collapsing in a sulphuric internal war that is a joy to behold. Beyond this electoral confusion lies social disorder and destitution.
The idea that Labour have arrived and will put everything back in place is a particular fantasy of Scotland’s own commentariat who have heralded the return of Labour as a reset to the great days of the past when the constitutional questions were marginal and the media and political class of Labour and Liberalism were one and the same.
But this is not the Labour party of Smith, Cook, Dewar or Blair. The forces that took to the streets have not gone away, disappeared by a prison sentence for a few hundred people, they still exist out there, desperate and angry. As Jonathan Rutherford has written (‘Hatred and division in deep England‘): “In these unfolding conflicts the political class has been supine. The writ of the British state which once stamped its authority on half the world is now barely capable of maintaining domestic social order.”
Overdogs and Underdogs
The challenge then is to create a coherent narrative for a whole Britain, one that is inclusive and multicultural, or to empower the forces of English nationalism and give them free rein. The political class is incapable of the former, which is gone forever, and terrified of the latter. In the acres of newsprint published about the riots much has been dissected: the use of external influencers and technology, the rise of ‘populism’ across Europe, the power of social media and on and on. But very little has been said about the rise of English nationalism and possible responses to it.
At the very heart of the social disorder we have seen is an ethnonationalism, an ugly variant of English nationalism that nobody is allowed to talk about. In the silence the forces of the far-right make gains, in the darkness of social media the disaffected are being spoken to. This silence has dire consequences.
As Ralph Leonard writes: “The subconscious claim of the violence was that the (white) English are a beleaguered and declining ethnic majority whose unique way of life is threatened by unrelenting mass immigration. Beyond this was the sense that England has been overtaken by an asymmetrical multiculturalism that privileges the right of ethnic minorities to celebrate their unique identities, while excluding the majority.”
But this is in juxtaposition to the claims often made about ‘Global Britain’ and ‘Britannia Unchained’ by the now disgraced Conservative government. The disaffected who took to the streets to commit what were acts of terrorism – not ‘disorder’ – are living in the remnants of a ‘nation’ that no longer exists and are being sold a notion of imperial swagger and exceptionalism that doesn’t match the material reality of their community or their household.
At least some of this is amplified by a complete inability to confront, channel or champion English identity and culture. Leonard again: “Unlike the nationalisms of our Celtic cousins, modelled on the classical small-nation European romantic nationalisms of the 19th century, we don’t have a flamboyant national dress based around bagpipes and kilts. We don’t have any need or desire to save an “indigenous” language from extinction, since English is the global lingua franca. Nor do we have a romantic underdog story of overcoming and emancipating ourselves from an imperial occupier to fuel our sense of nationhood. Instead, England, historically, is an overdog nation that for many nations across the world was an invader, conqueror and occupier.”
“This is partially a product of treating England as byword for Britain. Our histories and ancestries naturally overlap (in both directions). But following devolution inside Britain and the transformation of Britishness into a post-imperial civic nationalism, the task of adapting Englishness to the 21st century lingers on. The racist rioting that has engulfed England in the wake of the dreadful stabbings in Southport has made this issue more salient because it was powered by an ultra-nationalist narrative.”
The consequences for just ignoring all of this are not good. It’s not going away and the idea that Keir Starmer – a competent technocrat at best – might be able to articulate and be some ‘voice of the nation’ or speak to and for the disaffected seems far-fetched at best. Labour policy, as its already rolling out will serve to heighten not alleviate poverty – as we have seen this week with the announcement about the winter fuel cap – and their response to the rioting has been to reduce it to purely a matter of criminal behaviour.
Rachel Cunliffe has written (‘Does Labour have a cure for England’s turmoil?‘): “What the government needs in the meantime is a narrative. And it doesn’t have one. There has been frustration within the Labour party that Starmer, while adept at looking stern and solemn on television as he warns rioters about the consequences of their actions, has not yet found a way to tell a story that brings the country together. A story about who we are as a nation, about British values and resilience.”
The idea put forward by Leonard of Britishness as a ‘post-imperial civic nationalism’ seems overly optimistic at best. The idea is often suggested given data that immigrants cleave to ‘Britishness’ more than ‘Englishness’. But this is a low bar, and overlaying Britishness as an attempt to hide the uglier aspects of English nationalism isn’t going to work.
It’s not going to work because its a denial of the forces that are driving English nationalism but also because the markers, symbols and infrastructure that helped hold a notion of ‘Britain’ together have been destroyed. Britain is a hauntological idea. The Queen is dead. The public utilities have been sold off. The devolution that was intended to ‘shoot the nationalist fox’ missed. Few people under fifty identify as British in Scotland and the momentum for Irish unity continues to grow. Brexit has happened and only gone to show the cracks and fissures of Britain and Britishness. None of the wild claims that Brexit would lead to a great resurgence of British trade and commerce have come to pass, and rather than assuage Faragism it has only fuelled it. Added to the void space where Britain once stood we have a new government who are telling us plainly that they don’t have the money to rebuild and fund the sort of social policy that might, just might, offset the desperation of impoverished communities and make them less open to scaremongering by the far-right.
Scotland in Limbo
However – having said all this – having looked at our own stagnation and powerlessness, and our neighbours identity crisis, is there some, albeit feint light in the darkness? The present social and political crisis in Britain and in Scotland exposes and dismantles several shibboleths that have held us back and acted as misinformation about possible ways forward. Here’s two.
The first is the idea that the SNP were or are going to be the vehicle that would deliver independence and transform Scotland. The party have benefitted from this mythology and at first it seems unfathomable how we could achieve real change without them? Even if you disagreed with large sections of their policy, you might still have assumed them to be a convenient if inadequate vehicle of change. That now seems not just wrong but absurd.
This is not about individual failures, incompetence or wrong doing, it is about the incoherence of strategy and the timidity of politics. As Jonathan Shafi writes in his re-booted Independence Captured column: “… the core of the issue for the SNP is philosophical and ideological: are the SNP themselves sufficiently confident in their own case for independence? This question is rarely asked, in part because Unionist opponents have an interest in rendering the SNP as “independence obsessed” at the expense of the “day job” of devolved government. But it does bring to light important dynamics that are far more troublesome. Beyond the mechanics of a referendum, or winning Scots in their majority to the idea of Scottish autonomy, leaving the UK is rich with the kind of complexity and conflict the SNP leadership are politically allergic to. Independence, including economic control, necessitates a break with a series of interconnected and powerful institutions: financial, political, military and diplomatic. This, from the perspective of the SNP, must be negotiated in a process of acquiescence and permission-seeking, rather than defiance and confrontation.”
The fallout from the actions of Angus Robertson and John Mason – and John Swinney’s completely inadequate response – will be profound and add to the picture of the SNP as a dying political force. This does not translate into a gift for any political alternative, because there is none. But it does mean that the case for independence will need to be rebuilt entirely from the ground up and on completely different terms. This is not a revelation but it is a new understanding.
The second shibboleth that the present crisis reveals as bankrupt is the idea of Britain as a safe haven, a culturally open, politically progressive polity that Scotland should cling to lest we descend into ‘parochialism’ and the world of ‘narrow nationalism’. That is a genuine problem and prospect but it is not one resolved by cleaving to a greater Britain.
None of this is easy but at least we will be no longer working under misapprehensions and misinformation. Movements of change will have to work on multiple levels: community, city, region, nation and inter-nation to be effective. It is impossible to see, for example, how Scotland could respond to the toxicity of the tech platforms that have amplified anomie and monetised violent disorder. As Adrian Pabst has written: “In their current configuration, tech platforms unleash barbaric forces that portend a post-democratic and anti-political age in which technology rules unopposed. Social media destabilises not just governments but the social fabric of countries by injecting poisonous propaganda into the body politic.” While you might wish Humza Yousaf luck in his battle against Elon Musk, you might think he’ll need a hand.
On immigration too, any response will need to be international, as the forces of destabilisation and colonialism and climate devastation aren’t going away. The challenges facing us as individuals and as a larger political community are vast and overwhelming. But now at least the period of pretence is over and the task of rebuilding can begin.
I was watching Fallout S1e4 which crystalises the point about the Golden Rule, whether you’ve been a beneficiary of injustice or a victim of injustice. The British Imperialist dimension of English ethnonationalism even has an extensive but deeply warped mythology about being exceptionally keen on level playing fields, absurdly rooting for the underdog and being a nation of animal-lovers that not even a brain-rotted ghoul would believe. Hypocrisy and cant are not accidentally the Great British Virtues (alongside nepotism). I would of course say the Golden Rule applies to non-human Others, to an extent (given the nature of our shared and interacting biologies).
You make many excellent points, but I’m not convinced by your assessment of the SNP as ‘a dying political force’. And while I don’t disagree that the case for independence needs ‘to be rebuilt entirely from the ground up and on completely different terms’, this, in my view, will necessarily include the SNP with all its centrist, frustrating contradictions. The SNP, after all, is not some outfit sitting outside society. It is part and parcel, and a product of, Scottish society, warts and all. Start again and what you will end up getting will be … the SNP 2.0, unless in the meantime you have fundamentally changed Scottish society, or succeeded in mobilising radical forces within it which have hitherto lain dormant.
Nor does your article address the wider issues: it’s not just the SNP that’s in limbo, it’s the entire independence movement. And why have radical left alternatives (I’m thinking of RIC and RISE) left so little trace? This is something no-one, it seems, ever wishes to address, preferring to attack the SNP for the failures of the wider Yes movement. Too often, this lack of analysis degenerates into personal animosity against individuals – Nicola Sturgeon in particular. The letters page and online comments of The National amply illustrate my point. At the same time, fewer and fewer Yes groups are organising public-facing activities of any kind, it seems.
Politically, the real crisis facing the Yes movement is, in my view, the rejection by many of mass, democratic political activity and alliance building, for lack of a clear ‘route’ to independence. But since when has there ever been a pre-determined roadmap to any kind of profound social change? The only constant for achieving it is persistent struggle, with the forces at our disposal, addressing the concrete realities we face, building alliances along the way. Resorting to electoral wheezes or, worse, hopeless appeals to the UN, to the 1689 Claim of Right, or to UDI just won’t cut it: there is no shortcut to winning broad support. We need discussion and debate, of the kind promoted so effectively by Bella, to open up new perspectives towards independence. But if such discussions are not accompanied by action, however modest, we’re whistling in the wind.
I agree with much of what Paddy writes. I’m reading Tad Delays book Future of Denial – he focuses on denial of the climate crisis but the argument can be usefully applied to our movement for self determination.
“There is no short cut to winning broad support”. Absolutely true.
Also true: There is no attempt to talk about the things that concern the soft undecided!
Paddy – a comment very much based in reality of where we stand in 2024. In many ways it reminds me of where we were post 1979 devolution vote (Yes did achieve 37% of total electorate vote then too!) especially with the feeling of despair and depression abroad.
We can learn a lesson about how devolution was obtained by a broad movement based on discussion from many parties. We need to also include the soft No’s and other political party members outside independence movement or we will still be talking to ourselves.
The basics remain the same:
Independence can probably only be achieved via a referendum.
A referendum will only be achieved and mean something when a substantial majority of Scottish population (>60%) supports independence regardless of Westminster agreement or not.
To achieve the substantial majority for independence we need to listen to the concerns of population who are not convinced and address these concerns.
Throughout this process all discussions need to be open and collegiate and avoid infighting and score settling which is a turn off to the public ie no room for big egos.
It took 18 years work to get from 1979 to 1997 to achieve devolution. There are similarly no shortcuts to achieving independence but we do have demographic advantages that mean it is still achievable.
I agree with nearly all of that, but I think radical left alternatives have left rather more of a trace than Paddy suggests, as last November’s successful ‘Break up of Britain’ event testified.
Thanks Paddy – I agree with much of what you wrote and normally avoid personal attacks.
I’m not sure RIC and RISE are the same thing. RIC was one of the most – if no the most effective campaign organisation in the movement – tapping into and engaging with disaffected voters. RISE was a small new party idea that didn’t do well. People try stuff and sometimes it doesn’t work out.
No point throwing the baby (principal vehicle to independence) with the bath water! What is impacting the SNP and broader independence movement is that they / we played unionism at unionism’s own game and rule set.
We won election after election by their rules, we were ignored by unionism where its power lies, westminster, deliberately so. Events with profound and long lasting impacts hit us, namely brexit and most of all austerity!
We did not respond as we should have by tearing up the westminster play book and introducing our own play book! Instead we hunkered down to mitigate problems we did not create. Severe problems that impact every facet of life that the state broadcaster and the press could hang round out necks. The bbc and the right wing press should have been thrown out of Holyrood and all communication with them suspended indefinitely for as long as required. If you do not control the narrative, you lose before the game starts.
Essentially, the Scottish Government, The SNP and the Scottish People were left to hang out to dry and whither on the vine by the westminster elite in the firm knowledge all damage could be laid at the door of the SNP and the broader independence movement by the state broadcaster and the press. That supporters of independence are now turning on the SNP and its leadership is predictable and following westminster’s plan to the letter.
The tories are gone (for now, but will be back) and labour can blame everything in England on them and everything in Scotland on the SNP, whilst forgetting the basket case labour have presided over in Wales.
When Wings started agitating against the SNP over side issues, did this help the independence movement? No! In part it gave rise to the nonsense that is Alba along with splits in our movement resulting in a drop in firm and transitory support at the ballot box. Again all to predicable and shame on the principal architect that is Alba!
Does the SNP need change, absolutely, is JS the man to lead us to freedom, no but he is a safe pair of hands whilst others make the changes in both the SNP and broader movement! We are where we are because we played by their rules, time to change the rules and communicate directly to the Scottish people and by-pass unionist conduits and filters, who in their right mind ever believed they would be fair and impartial?
Don’t throw the baby out with the bath water, make the necessary changes decisively and quickly putting unionism on the back foot, play their game and we are lost and divided!
Iain I’m sorry but I have to disagree with your perspective here. I don’t blame WM or the press for the poor performance of the SNP in government nor for their compliance to ‘the rule book’ or the system. To me, all the failings of the SNP is the fault of the SNP no one else. I voted SNP up to the last election and it will take a heck of a lot of persuasion to get me to vote for them again. Why? Because they lied. They lied for ten years and they are still lying. They are not THE vehicle for independence, they might be A vehicle for independence, but I suspect they are devolutionists, careerists, incompetent and above all lazy.
I note you partially blame Wings for SNP failure but I think that website has been given far too much importance amongst those who read independence websites, it is just a website and one with not that great a reach in reality. And, astoundingly, like thousands of others, I managed to decide for myself to vote YES in 2014 without recourse to that website and its wee blue book – indeed it wasn’t until the spat with Dugdale years later that I even heard about the website. And to blame Wings for being the father or mother of ALBA is unfortunately a point of view that can only be put out by an SNP supporter.* ALBA was started by Alec Salmond because he could not re-join the SNP, his relationship with Sturgeon was – to put it mildly – not good and because his reputation was trashed even after being cleared in court of sexual misconduct. The importance of Wings is a myth, the failure of ALBA is there for all to see, and so should the failure of the SNP be exposed and highlighted not hidden and covered in a mist of excuses and the blame of others.
* The reason I raised the issue of being a SNP supporter is to highlight the issue of support for a party rather than a political position. This is the way things went with labour, when socialists still voted for a brand rather than what they actually stood for, the gap between Atlee and Bevan’s Labour and Blair and Starmer’s is wide. Let us not do the same with independence. Independence is what we support NOT a party.
I exaggerate, but suggesting is that the uk establishment, including the bbc, press and westminster are benign towards whether Scotland gains independence and it is the SNP who are the true unionists and the power behind the union!
Wings were a fantastic tool for the independence cause, then,………
If a cause is left to whither on the vine, don’t be surprised when it whithers!
The SNP needed to be bolder after each and every election, they weren’t, a huge mistake, they need a kick up the backside, but we are not done, events will change quickly in the uk as austerity continues to bite and the uk continues to decline, its all to play for!
“As blah blah has written ……. ”
Could of told you that, well I did tell a lot of people about the enate weekends in the SNP, and civic nationalism 13 years ago. Oh well. Things are moving anyway in the movement with or with out the SNP or digital pundits.
‘the idea of Scottish autonomy, leaving the UK is rich with the kind of complexity and conflict the SNP leadership are politically allergic to. Independence, including economic control, necessitates a break with a series of interconnected and powerful institutions: financial, political, military and diplomatic. This, from the perspective of the SNP, must be negotiated in a process of acquiescence and permission-seeking, rather than defiance and confrontation.”’
This is the crux of it. I do not think the SNP capable of tis kind of required shift in thinking but the bigger question is, is the independence movement in general? At the moment it seems to be going down the opposite road – more confrontation, more (empty) anger, more retreating to safe fantasies (historical ‘claims of right’, UDI etc). This will not work but then those involved know it won’t but it is a kind of comfort blanket, a safe haven that maintains the status quo – stay in the Union and complain about it ever more bitterly.
Why would anyone take advice from Shafi? He celebrated Brexit and in the next breath was happy to use anger at Brexit to demand another independence referendum.
“Some people just want to watch the world burn”.