War Aims

As the Israel-US conducts a ruthless, criminal war of aggression against the people of Iran, Peter Arnott attempts to clear the debris and see through the fog of war.

There’s a lot of talk on the radio this morning about “war aims.”  No one seems to really understand what’s going on, or, at least, be able to articulate it.  So, I thought I’d have a go, if you’ll forgive a dramatist’s perspective.

We have to start with biggest, loudest, wildest presence on the stage, which is, of course, the president. It is incredibly hard to take your eyes off him as he seems to lash out in every available direction all at once.  But if I were forced to write a short character sketch for a movie pitch, I’d probably say something like this.

Donald Trump is a person who has consciously divided the human world into consisting of enemies and suckers.  Enemies are people you destroy now, or as soon as possible later, and suckers are the people you use to destroy your enemies. (We already have anecdotal evidence from Arlington Cemetery that US Military Personnel fall into the category of “suckers.”)  The Islamic Revolutionary Regime in Iran cannot fall into the category of “suckers” since they actually seem to believe in stuff, however misguidedly, and hence are enemies.

So far so good.  But Trump is a very insecure man, and is anxious to the point of mania to have “friends.” (I suppose he includes this his own family members in this vanishingly small category of those he finds worthy of the honour.)

Unfortunately for him, the people he most wants to be his friends are people who are like him, or people who he aspires to be like. Tough guys.  Hard men.  Men for whom the world, once again, is divided into suckers and enemies. 

This is what makes him a sucker.  This is what makes him, the show-off con man into such an easy mark for those who know much better than him what the game is.

(The playwright David Mamet once memorably said of every poker game that somebody is always the victim – and if you don’t know who the victim is, then it’s you.)

This, of course, brings us to Benjamin Netanyahu, who informed the President this week that he had the intelligence to decapitate the Islamic Regime in Tehran, and that the Americans had better join in if they didn’t want to add themselves to the victim list. And Trump, yapping at the heels of the school bully, joined in with somebody else’s game.

Marco Rubio, the US Secretary of State, more or less confirmed this in one of the interviews I heard on the radio this morning.  Rubio himself is no mean poker player, it seems, having used Trump to weaken the Communist Regime in Cuba, in whose destruction Rubio actually believes.

Trump , by contrast, believes in nothing, except, perhaps, that people might want to be his friends.  I suspect he’ll find out very much to the contrary in the next year or two.  

Trump therefore, has no war aim. Just the personal goal of illusory friendship.  Oh, he might vaguely have the notion of regional hegemony somewhere in his noggin.  Remembering games of Risk, his might think his friend Putin is the hegemon of Europe, as Netanyahu is of the Middle East and he himself is of the Americas.  But, when it comes down to it, the reason that Trump has no aim is very simple.  This isn’t his war.

Netanyahu, by contrast, has wanted this war all his life.  He has always wanted America to join with him in attacking Iran. He has already achieved his war aim.  Whatever happens now, whether it comes to the building of new settlements in East Jerusalem, cancelling forever the possibility of a viable Palestinian State, or in the upcoming Knesset elections, Netanyahu has no war aims, because his aims have already been achieved. The sucker has already given him the one-sided carnage he wants in the depths of his dark, self-serving soul.

This then, accounts for the singular helplessness with which the once rational, once legal world is staring aghast into the future as a nigh bottomless pit of violence upon violence. The cruelty, and the violence, to paraphrase Adam Serwer, is the point. The universe is, therefore, as Joseph Goebells once articulated it, a region of force, doomed to destruction and savagery.

Unless we decide otherwise.  Unless we decide that we’d prefer it, if possible, that our civilisation, and all of the hypocrisies that go with it, survive.

 

Comments (16)

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  1. Statan says:

    when will there be an election in Israel?

  2. Statan says:

    Even the Times of Isreal doesnt go in for Benji anymore

  3. John says:

    The war aims appear quite simple:
    Trump needs a war to deflect from his unpopularity at home especially Epstein revelations. Netanyahu needs continuous war to keep in power.
    If either one loses power they will be behind bars so everyone else is merely collateral damage to keep them out of jail.

    1. John Learmonth says:

      John,
      If only the people of Iran had the power to put their own leaders in jail unlike the free people’s of Israel and the USA.
      As for the article if this is an attack on the people of Iran as the author claims could he please explain why the worldwide Iranian diaspora are currently out celebrating on the streets?

  4. Douglas says:

    The purpose of the war is to destroy Iran, one of the few countries which refuses to accept the hegemony of the USA.

    The USA’s production capacity far outstripped its own domestic market way back at the end of the 19th century.
    Hence the need for new markets.
    But new markets only follow in countries which are compliant to the USA and Iran isn’t.

    Iran, let’s remember, saw its only ever democratic government, that of Mossadegh, overthrown in a coup d’Etat organized by the British State in 1953 for the sole reason that Mosaddegh was going to nationalize the oil industry and BP were going to lose out… So they bumped him off and installed the Sha’a.

    That’s one of the reasons.

    Another is that the US arms industry virtually guarantees war.
    Trump, remember, has promised to increase the US defence budget to 1.5 trillion dollars by next year…
    That’s about half of UK annual GDP…
    Why would they spend so much on their military and then not go to war?

    At the obvious level, Trump has finally been convinced by Netanyahou to unleash the war he always wanted against Iran.

    But there are underlying reasons which make never ending war almost a certainty for the forseeable future…

    1. Douglas says:

      And the big war to come, is China…
      Ultimately the Americans will go to war with China…
      Following the same logic as above, eventually, one fears and dreads, the USA will try and topple the Communist State of China…
      They’re insane…
      Totally insane people, the US establishment, with a war lust like no other country in human history…

  5. John says:

    John – I have no truck with the despotic, authoritarian regime in Iran. Trump has not even decided if he wants regime change or not. Previous history shows that regime change facilitated by warfare is very difficult and very dangerous for everyone especially the people of Iran. It needs to be thought through and planned out – even Trump’s admirers would admit these are not his strongest points.
    You are aware that the bombing of Iran hit a girls school killing 165 pupils which I doubt anyone is celebrating.
    If the strongest nations do not uphold international law then who will? Without international law the world is a much more dangerous place.
    I wouldn’t be too confident about Trump and Netanyahu willingly giving up power via ballot box. They both have already exhibited authoritarian tendencies.

    1. He was on today talking specifically (if incoherently) about regime change.

    2. John Learmonth says:

      John,

      I agree with many of your points. Regime change in an ideal world should be done by the people who live in that country, unfortunately the Iranian people have tried to change their regime numerous times since 1979 to no avail resulting in the deaths of hundreds of thousands and millions fleeing.
      I doubt whether the current Israeli/US actions will aid the Iranian people (hope im proved wrong), indeed it could end up splitting the nation into its rival ethnic factions and millions more fleeing.
      As for ‘international law’ it’s a fallacy and has never existed. International law is whatever the worlds strongest nations says it is and if you believe otherwise your living in fantasy land. Might is right and has been throughout human history.

      1. John says:

        John – it is true that the strongest nations have always played fast and loose with international law though never quite as recklessly as in last few years.
        I still think that it is worth preserving along with international institutions partly because there is nothing else unless you want to be ruled by Boatd of Peace? International Law can be used by the less strong nations (such as UK) to push back against the very strongest nations. A recent example was how the European nations stood up to Trump over annexation of Greenland.
        IMO international law is like democracy- it is flawed and not always adhered to but it is far preferable to any alternatives – unless you think the Board of Peace is the way forward?
        Flawed and ignored as international law is IMO it is even more important to try and retain some sort of rules based order in an increasingly violent and dangerous world.
        You may call my approach naive and hopelessly optimistic but I would call your approach cynical and nihilistic.
        Meanwhile the Doomsdsy Clock edges closer to midnight.

      2. SleepingDog says:

        @John Learmonth, except that might isn’t right, which is a particularly loathsome category mistake. Do you think rapists, child abusers and torturers are right? This is just the deranged fantasy of right-wing cocksuckery, most evident in a pyramid of male bodies (one of the themes of Thucydides’ history of the Peloponessian War).

        This delusion of a single dimension of ‘might’ cannot be mapped to reality, not in human societies (even pecking order in a hen-house is not a fixed construct). Goliath was ‘mighty’ but killed by a single (and very cheap) shot from David’s sling. Every decent military game nods to the paper-stone-scissors aspect of strength-and-weaknesses of different units, hence of course combined-arms theory. So, the self-proclaimed strong use terror, which is supposedly a tool of the weak, yet today they play language games to deny they are terrorists (whereas previous generations were quite happy to use ‘terror’ to describe bombing civilians and threatening nuclear war).

        Every Achilles has a heel. The USA is extraordinarily vulnerable in multiple ways, not least from cyber-attacks and self-inflicted financial collapses, and it lives precariously far beyond its means while making many enemies (and wingnut fanboys), whilst even the tools it makes may at any moment bring about its own destruction. Perhaps today it has the equivalent of Athenian silver mines to fund its lavish overconsumption and vast military, but it is also deeply divided and its leadership appear deeply stupid. USAmerican capitalism is grotesquely lethal: if it isn’t poisoning its citizens with tobacco, or opiates, its killing them in a variety of fast-and-slow ways that outnumber even its military victims. And as the leader of World Evil NATO, the USA is the living planet’s Enemy #1.

        Yes, time to check the Doomsday Clock indeed, John:
        https://thebulletin.org/
        And I’ve Luke Kemp’s Goliath’s Curse on my reading list, too.

        1. John says:

          SD – International Law is intended to restrain the most powerful nations and protect the medium sized nations (UK) and smaller nations (Scotland). John Learnmouth, Farage and right wing media that trumpet the ‘might is right’ and International Law is for losers mantra therefore show no regard for individual countries sovereignty and are at heart traitors to the best interests of countries they claim to be so patriotic about.

  6. Selma Rahman says:

    The USA and the oil companies hVE never forgotten the threat posed by MOssadegh in 53. The subsequent actions, his removal and then the enabling, the tolerating, the promotion of the tyrannical, corrupt Shah and his family are part and parcel of the background to where we are. That the so called values of the West, no matter embodied in the Shah and his regime, were rejected by the people of Iran, was always a danger to be delt with…
    ..just part of the long game that powerful countries can and do play.
    As the value of oil and natural gas became more apparent, so the strategic value of the state of Israel increased too. This last bastion, this last western colony imposed on the region would become the trigger point that would always need to be protected at every occasion, real or manufactured.
    That Iran is ‘rich’ in its potential as an every day market has to be considered. How many people ? That many! They should be buying western goods, western food stuffs, clothes, you name it..a market waiting to be opened up with a different government, Even before it’s rare Earth minerals and cheap labour are considered. The cheap labour would follow after the depression and collapse of their own internal markets/supplies. There’s no KFC, Pepsi there….they make their own, own brands.
    Would I want to be a woman in Iran under the regime that denies so much as it murders, imprisons so many? Of course not, but if I was in Iran, I think I’d be looking at western ‘support’ given to my neighbours..Iraq,Syria, Libya..I’d be wondering about the Iran -Iran war…..for whose benefit? I’d be remembering the “promises” given and never delivered around the region, and I’d still be asking…all this money for arms, weapons manufacturing.
    So keep making, yes, but you can only keep profiting if you use and replace those weapons. So between keeping oil companies and weapons manufacturers on side, a destabilised region will continue to be a happy hunting ground for many in the long term, and in the short? a handy distraction away from internal USA issues….

    1. Douglas says:

      If you watch the interview with Michael Hudson Democracy Now! last night, he lays it out very clearly.
      How do you control the world?
      You control the oil supply.
      You also make sure oil is traded in dollars…
      Most Iranian oil was going to China, and China was paying for it in remnimbi, their own currency…
      Venezuela was another country which exported oil to China…
      Then there’s the fact Trump’s election campaign was paid for by the US oil industry to a large extent…
      The co-host of the show, Juan Gónzalez, also reminds us that the US is an oil exporter these days and so its oil companies are making a killing with the spike in prices…
      As for Ukraine, it can hardly be ignored either that the war there has meant Germany and Europe in general have had to look for non-Russian sources of energy…

      Here is the interview: https://www.democracynow.org/2026/3/3/michael_hudson_economist_trump_iran_attack

  7. John Monro says:

    Thank you Mike. I don’t believe this is just Netanyahu’s war. His accomplices are the succession of presidents and politicians all beholden to Israel, not just for actually believing in a true Zionist philosophy but also just because Israel is the US’s battleship in the Middle East, that country is being the agency of US hegemony in the region. It provides the men and women who are willing to die along with the massive apparatus of war which the US provides. Other accomplices are the succession of partly insane neocons that inhabit the Whitehouse, many of them unelected fanatics. They never learn, they are sociopathic to a man and a woman, and they never have a “reverse gear”, as the Alexanders of the Duran will always remind us. .

    And then there are the accomplices in the media, in the US and the UK and elsewhere. What is that dismaying article in the Telegraph but the rubber stamp of approval on psychopathy, fascism and racism and a frightening example of the moral decay of the right in politics. The US has had a parallel aim of bringing down Iran ever since the Iranian islamic revolution of 1979. I have never for a moment believed that Israel is the tail that wags the US dog. Israel is the hoodlum to the US godfather. It’s just that today the leaders of the two respective countries are no longer rhetorical examples playing a role but the real thing in flesh, in all its abhorrent obscenity. . This is nothing less than a class war, not so much the classes and philosophies of old, but the class of the rich vs the class everyone else. If the language, skin colour or religion the poor are different from those at the top, then these are all alien challenges to the paranoic, and who on the planet could be more culturally paranoid than a white,Anglo-Saxon American?

    1. SleepingDog says:

      @John Monro, are you saying that Israeli Zionists are “men and women who are willing to die” for their cause? Well, some of them are (sometimes violently) opposed to serving in the armed forces, and some of those are also violently opposed to women, apparently.
      https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/hundreds-ultra-orthodox-men-chase-israeli-female-soldiers
      What happens if the Ultra-Orthodox demographic explodes as projected?

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